Clash of Elements

Uncommon · Instant

Pick rating

6.4GoodRank 77 of 280

Observed strength

58.5%Rank 50 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).

Why. A three-mana instant that removes any nonland permanent: its owner puts it on top of their library and takes two damage, or it goes to the bottom. Either way the threat leaves the battlefield.

Risks. If the opponent picks the top, they redraw it, so you gain tempo rather than a true answer. It needs blue and red.

In the draft. A good tempo tool for a blue-red deck: the opponent loses either the card or their next draw. Save it for an expensive target.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.5 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand55.6 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game60.0 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.6 win-rate points

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 15 of 109
  • Multicolour: rank 22 of 54
  • Cost 3: rank 17 of 73
  • Average pick: 6.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

13,743 games57.6 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)
2,800 games56.3 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)
2,378 games55.9 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)
1,845 games53.9 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)
998 games56.0 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)

splash

695 games55.4 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)

splash

641 games59.0 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)

splash

613 games54.3 %(all pairs : 56.7 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.2 %· 1,838 games
All players, card in hand58.9 %· 14,369 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.1 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.2 %(set average : 53.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.2 % · 18,370 games
  • 2 copies57.7 % · 5,626 games
  • 3 copies58.6 % · 1,048 games
  • 4 copies or more58.4 % · 101 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Ingris Stingerquill

    4. Ingris Stingerquill

    9.0
  • Lyra, Tolarian Archangel

    8. Lyra, Tolarian Archangel

    8.7
  • Chandra, Chill of Compliance

    15. Chandra, Chill of Compliance

    8.2
  • Seasoned Cryomancer

    16. Seasoned Cryomancer

    8.1

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.