Mudbutton Cursetosser

Uncommon · Creature — Goblin Warlock

Pick rating

7.1GoodRank 39 of 264

Observed strength

57.5%Rank 75 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid uncommon of the format (7.1/10).

Why. A one-mana creature that attacks for 2 and, when it dies, destroys an opponent's creature with power 2 or less. The opponent is punished whether they block it or kill it. With a Goblin you control or in hand to behold, it costs just one mana.

Risks. It can't block, so it gives no defense. Without a Goblin to behold, it costs three mana, which hurts a lot. The death trigger only hits small creatures.

In the draft. A good uncommon for an aggressive black-red deck with Goblins. Avoid it in slower decks.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.5 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand60.5 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game55.1 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)66.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 4 of 100
  • Black: rank 7 of 39
  • Cost 1: rank 6 of 22
  • Average pick: 6.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

25,149 games55.4 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
1,375 games50.8 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
952 games52.3 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
457 games46.4 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
454 games51.3 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
268 games45.1 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
146 games55.5 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
136 games44.1 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.3 %· 3,648 games
All players, card in hand58.1 %· 14,074 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.7 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.7 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.6 % · 21,988 games
  • 2 copies57.4 % · 6,106 games
  • 3 copies60.9 % · 1,024 games
  • 4 copies or more57.3 % · 103 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks57.7 % · 9,453 games
  • Next two weeks59.5 % · 3,386 games
  • After that57.2 % · 1,235 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/R · 54 %

Played in 5.5% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Dawnhand Dissident

    16. Dawnhand Dissident

    8.1
  • Moonshadow

    17. Moonshadow

    8.0
  • Requiting Hex

    116. Requiting Hex

    5.8
  • Scarblade's Malice

    177. Scarblade's Malice

    5.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.