Herigast, Erupting Nullkite

Mythic · Legendary Creature — Eldrazi Dragon

Pick rating

5.3PlayableRank 174 of 302

Observed strength

52.5%Rank 225 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.3/10).

Why. A 6/6 flier, but at nine mana unless you emerge by sacrificing a creature. When you cast it you may exile your hand to draw three, and while it is out each creature spell you cast has emerge.

Risks. Nine mana, or eight including two red, reduced by the sacrificed creature's mana value: slow and costly. Exiling your hand costs real cards.

In the draft. A slow-deck finisher, ideally red. Do not take it early, since most decks want cheaper cards.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.5 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand50.6 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game53.8 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)85.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 21 of 24
  • Colourless: rank 52 of 85
  • Cost 9: rank 2 of 2
  • Average pick: 2.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

2,675 games54.3 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
2,339 games56.1 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
1,529 games54.9 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
1,511 games51.6 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
1,412 games50.9 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
836 games50.4 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
750 games50.9 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
622 games50.5 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand52.3 %· 929 games
All players, card in hand53.2 %· 5,196 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.5 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)48.6 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.5 % · 13,287 games
  • 2 copies55.4 % · 157 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.9 % · 3,325 games
  • Next two weeks52.6 % · 1,347 games
  • After that50.2 % · 524 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Kozilek, the Broken Reality

    74. Kozilek, the Broken Reality

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.