Cost of Brilliance
Common · Sorcery
5.6PlayableRank 128 of 266
57.4%Rank 91 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.6/10).
Why. A three-mana sorcery: target player draws two cards and loses 2 life (you can target yourself), then up to one target creature gets a +1/+1 counter. Steady value.
Risks. It barely affects the board. Losing 2 life matters against an aggressive deck.
In the draft. A good black common for slower decks. Take it mid-pack.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.4 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 19 of 86
- Black: rank 16 of 34
- Cost 3: rank 32 of 66
- Average pick: 8.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.4 % · 63,118 games
- 2 copies58.2 % · 16,083 games
- 3 copies59.1 % · 1,923 games
- 4 copies or more54.8 % · 146 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.0 % · 18,456 games
- Next two weeks57.3 % · 12,242 games
- After that56.8 % · 7,829 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Silverquill, the Disputant3,760 games · 57.8 % (instead of 56.0% expected)
- Fix What's Broken1,259 games · 53.7 % (instead of 52.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Arcane Omens3,729 games · 52.3 % (instead of 57.2% expected)
- Fields of Strife5,926 games · 53.3 % (instead of 57.6% expected)
- Together as One2,335 games · 55.5 % (instead of 59.6% expected)
Where it is played
B/W · 64 %B/G · 31 %
Played in 15% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
18. Moseo, Vein's New Dean
7.9
19. Blech, Loafing Pest
7.8
52. Cauldron of Essence
6.8
59. Withering Curse
6.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.