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Pensive Professor

Rare · Creature — Human Wizard

Pick rating

7.0GoodRank 45 of 266

Observed strength

58.6%Rank 58 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (7.0/10).

Why. A 0/2 creature that grows through Increment when you cast spells for more mana than its power or toughness, and draws a card each time it gets a counter. It becomes a steady card source if you cast spells every turn.

Risks. On its own it is a 0/2 with no impact: you must cast spells after it, and the bigger it gets, the more those spells must cost to keep growing it. An early removal stops it before it pays off.

In the draft. Very good in a blue deck with a full curve. Take it fairly high and play it early so it has time to draw.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.6 %(set average : 56.3 %)

Card in the opening hand57.4 %(set average : 54.9 %)

Card drawn during the game59.4 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +8.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)89.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

Rare: rank 27 of 60
Blue: rank 6 of 34
Cost 3: rank 10 of 66
Average pick: 2.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.