Mabel's Mettle

Uncommon · Instant

Pick rating

4.8WeakRank 180 of 261

Observed strength

53.2%Rank 214 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).

Why. A two-mana instant that gives one creature +2/+2 and another +1/+1 until end of turn. It wins a combat or ambushes a blocker, and can trigger Valiant on two creatures at once.

Risks. A combat trick that loses a card to removal in response. It does nothing without creatures on board.

In the draft. A decent trick in an aggressive white deck with Valiant creatures. Take it after your creatures.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.2 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand52.2 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game53.9 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)69.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 83 of 100
  • White: rank 31 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 57 of 82
  • Average pick: 6.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

25,661 games54.2 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
23,411 games54.9 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
10,723 games53.4 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
4,587 games50.1 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
1,394 games61.3 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
610 games45.4 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
555 games52.3 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
473 games47.6 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.1 %· 4,235 games
All players, card in hand53.4 %· 27,285 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.9 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.0 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.0 % · 61,235 games
  • 2 copies53.0 % · 6,526 games
  • 3 copies54.1 % · 281 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.7 % · 17,906 games
  • Next two weeks52.9 % · 6,730 games
  • After that52.8 % · 2,649 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

  • Cache Grab3,424 games · 52.0 % (instead of 54.7% expected)
  • Savor4,897 games · 53.1 % (instead of 55.4% expected)
  • Bonebind Orator4,043 games · 52.4 % (instead of 54.5% expected)

Where it is played

R/W · 34 %

Played in 7.4% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Valley Questcaller

    3. Valley Questcaller

    9.1
  • Finneas, Ace Archer

    16. Finneas, Ace Archer

    8.1
  • Burrowguard Mentor

    26. Burrowguard Mentor

    7.5
  • Lunar Convocation

    43. Lunar Convocation

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.