Coruscation Mage

Uncommon · Creature — Otter Wizard

Pick rating

5.2PlayableRank 153 of 261

Observed strength

54.4%Rank 171 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.2/10).

Why. A 2/2 for two mana that deals one damage to the opponent whenever you cast a noncreature spell. With Offspring, for four mana, it becomes two bodies that punish every spell.

Risks. It needs lots of noncreature spells to matter. In a creature-heavy deck it's just a 2/2.

In the draft. A card for a red deck with plenty of instants and sorceries. Take it after the removal.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.4 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand54.1 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game54.6 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)69.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 68 of 100
  • Red: rank 21 of 41
  • Cost 2: rank 49 of 82
  • Average pick: 6.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

17,008 games51.1 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
15,550 games55.6 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
11,154 games53.6 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
7,936 games52.9 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
735 games54.0 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
435 games49.4 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
398 games43.2 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
295 games44.1 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.0 %· 5,230 games
All players, card in hand53.7 %· 25,469 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.5 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)48.6 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.1 % · 43,712 games
  • 2 copies52.9 % · 9,233 games
  • 3 copies52.9 % · 1,271 games
  • 4 copies or more43.5 % · 131 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.2 % · 15,890 games
  • Next two weeks54.3 % · 6,201 games
  • After that55.1 % · 3,378 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 59 %B/R · 26 %

Played in 6.0% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Gev, Scaled Scorch

    1. Gev, Scaled Scorch

    9.4
  • Manifold Mouse

    8. Manifold Mouse

    8.7
  • Emberheart Challenger

    27. Emberheart Challenger

    7.4
  • Fireglass Mentor

    33. Fireglass Mentor

    7.3

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.