Fire Magic
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Fire Magic

Uncommon · Instant

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 71 of 294

Observed strength

57.5%Rank 106 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid uncommon of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A flexible instant-speed sweeper for one red mana: no additional cost for 1 damage to each creature, two more mana for 2, five more for 3. A good answer to tokens and small creatures.

Risks. It hits your own creatures too. The first two modes kill nothing sturdy, and the top mode is very expensive.

In the draft. Good in a red deck with high-toughness creatures or one that is behind on board. Weaker in an aggro deck full of small creatures.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.5 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card in the opening hand54.6 %(set average : 55.2 %)
Card drawn during the game59.4 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)74.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 26 of 110
  • Red: rank 10 of 42
  • Cost 1: rank 8 of 29
  • Average pick: 5.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

24,192 games57.7 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)
8,659 games54.5 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)
4,878 games53.4 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)
3,771 games53.9 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)
3,258 games52.9 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)
1,958 games52.3 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)
1,144 games57.3 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)

splash

1,075 games55.3 %(all pairs : 55.5 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.3 %· 6,965 games
All players, card in hand57.9 %· 25,147 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.9 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.3 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.6 % · 48,722 games
  • 2 copies55.5 % · 4,782 games
  • 3 copies49.4 % · 251 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks57.8 % · 11,780 games
  • Next two weeks57.8 % · 10,013 games
  • After that58.7 % · 3,354 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 27 %

Played in 7.1% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Thunder Magic

    51. Thunder Magic

    7.0
  • Blazing Bomb

    65. Blazing Bomb

    6.6
  • Freya Crescent

    108. Freya Crescent

    6.0
  • Coral Sword

    190. Coral Sword

    5.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.