Budding Insurgent

Common · Creature — Dryad Scout

Pick rating

4.2WeakRank 231 of 280

Observed strength

50.9%Rank 242 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).

Why. A 3/3 with vigilance for three mana, a solid body for the price. You can sacrifice it at sorcery speed to destroy an artifact or enchantment, drawing a card if it was a legendary enchantment.

Risks. The destruction costs you the creature, and most of the time there's no target. Otherwise a plain 3/3.

In the draft. A decent body for green that doubles as a plan B against an annoying artifact. Mid to late pick.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game50.9 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand50.2 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game51.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.8 win-rate points

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 57 of 81
  • Green: rank 31 of 37
  • Cost 3: rank 57 of 73
  • Average pick: 10.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

7,028 games54.3 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
4,253 games53.8 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
2,805 games53.0 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
1,572 games50.2 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
758 games50.3 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
742 games55.1 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
480 games50.0 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
393 games54.2 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand48.1 %· 513 games
All players, card in hand52.0 %· 8,729 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)54.8 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.3 %(set average : 53.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.3 % · 17,229 games
  • 2 copies51.4 % · 1,745 games
  • 3 copies52.1 % · 119 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Vraska, the Cutting Glare

    22. Vraska, the Cutting Glare

    7.7
  • Tenured Tethermage

    36. Tenured Tethermage

    7.3
  • Simulacrum Shaper

    38. Simulacrum Shaper

    7.2
  • Primal Witchstalker

    85. Primal Witchstalker

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.