Shipwreck Marsh

Rare · Land

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 71 of 280

Observed strength

57.8%Rank 60 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A blue-black fixing land that enters untapped when you control at least two other lands. It smooths the mana of a blue-black deck at almost no cost.

Risks. It enters tapped early in the game. It does nothing outside those two colours.

In the draft. A fine late pick for a blue-black deck or a splash of either colour. Playables come first.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.8 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand58.3 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game57.5 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.0 win-rate points

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 41 of 64
  • Colourless: rank 7 of 32
  • Cost 0: rank 6 of 20
  • Average pick: 5.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

5,543 games57.3 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)
1,502 games57.6 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)
1,150 games57.1 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)
978 games59.4 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)
837 games56.3 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)
662 games58.8 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)
549 games58.7 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)
313 games55.9 %(all pairs : 57.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand60.0 %· 873 games
All players, card in hand58.4 %· 6,354 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.4 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)56.3 %(set average : 53.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.4 % · 12,159 games
  • 2 copies53.8 % · 485 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Theorist's Sanctum

    20. Theorist's Sanctum

    7.8
  • Deserted Beach

    64. Deserted Beach

    6.6
  • Haunted Ridge

    66. Haunted Ridge

    6.6
  • Overgrown Farmland

    68. Overgrown Farmland

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.