Sureshot Sower

Common · Creature — Human Archer

Pick rating

4.8WeakRank 199 of 280

Observed strength

53.5%Rank 183 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).

Why. A two-mana 3/1 with reach and an ability: from your hand, pay four and discard it to destroy a creature with flying. A two-way card, either a decent body or removal against flyers.

Risks. One toughness dies to almost anything, and the destroy ability only hits flyers. With no opposing flyer it stays a 3/1.

In the draft. A mid-pack pick for any green deck, better against flyers. It can also fill an early two-drop slot.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.5 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand52.3 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game54.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.0 win-rate points

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 35 of 81
  • Green: rank 27 of 37
  • Cost 2: rank 65 of 82
  • Average pick: 9.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

13,044 games55.9 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
6,965 games55.4 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
6,901 games53.4 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
3,937 games53.1 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
2,257 games57.1 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
1,834 games54.9 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
1,471 games54.7 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
1,237 games52.4 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.0 %· 1,928 games
All players, card in hand54.4 %· 19,684 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.0 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.4 %(set average : 53.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.8 % · 32,851 games
  • 2 copies54.3 % · 6,361 games
  • 3 copies54.8 % · 728 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Avatar of Burgeoning Echoes

    5. Avatar of Burgeoning Echoes

    8.9
  • Tarmogoyf

    39. Tarmogoyf

    7.2
  • Puppet Crafting

    45. Puppet Crafting

    7.0
  • Yoshimaru, Scrappy Stray

    51. Yoshimaru, Scrappy Stray

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.