Terminal Criticism
Uncommon · Instant
6.0PlayableRank 110 of 280
52.2%Rank 219 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins less than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).
Why. Destroys a blue or red creature or planeswalker for two mana at instant speed, and you gain 1 life. Against those colours it is very cheap removal.
Risks. It only hits blue and red, so it does nothing against the other colours. It is a conditional card, and the life gain is tiny.
In the draft. Take it as a plan B card, after your unrestricted removal. If you see a lot of blue or red in the pod, move it up.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 41 of 109
- Black: rank 14 of 39
- Cost 2: rank 36 of 82
- Average pick: 11.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.4 % · 1,782 games
- 2 copies33.7 % · 101 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Plan for All Outcomes242 games · 59.5 % (instead of 53.2% expected)
- Primal Witchstalker260 games · 58.8 % (instead of 53.1% expected)
- Icy Reception345 games · 58.3 % (instead of 52.6% expected)
- Transformative Commons169 games · 56.8 % (instead of 51.6% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Whiplash Wordsmith // Vicious Verse160 games · 40.0 % (instead of 47.3% expected)
- Danitha, Spear of Agony276 games · 42.0 % (instead of 47.5% expected)
- Stingerquill Annex309 games · 46.9 % (instead of 51.2% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
41. Vraska's Final Mercy
7.2
42. Liliana the Repentant
7.1
48. Stingerquill Charm
7.0
60. Stinging Vitriol
6.8
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.