Way of the Pyromancer

Uncommon · Legendary Enchantment

Pick rating

6.0PlayableRank 112 of 280

Observed strength

51.8%Rank 228 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

It wins less than its rating suggests.

Why this gap?

The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).

Why. For two mana it empowers Jace 2, and your planeswalkers can add a red mana by gaining a loyalty counter. A small planeswalker start and a little acceleration.

Risks. A slow, low-impact effect: the Jace mostly surveils or draws later. No creature and no damage.

In the draft. Filler for a red deck that plays planeswalkers or Jace effects. Take it late, after your creatures and removal.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.8 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand53.5 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game50.6 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.6 win-rate points

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 43 of 109
  • Red: rank 16 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 37 of 82
  • Average pick: 5.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

6,647 games54.6 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
4,505 games54.1 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
2,908 games51.2 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
1,792 games52.8 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
1,118 games51.8 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
999 games51.0 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
894 games54.5 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
889 games50.2 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.4 %· 1,011 games
All players, card in hand53.0 %· 10,276 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.6 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.5 %(set average : 53.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.3 % · 19,679 games
  • 2 copies50.9 % · 1,963 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Stingcaster Mage

    13. Stingcaster Mage

    8.3
  • Master of Barbs

    30. Master of Barbs

    7.4
  • Solitary Cell

    40. Solitary Cell

    7.2
  • Stingerquill Charm

    48. Stingerquill Charm

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.