Perfected Theory
Uncommon · Instant
2.0WeakRank 268 of 280
52.1%Rank 221 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A one-mana instant with two modes: a target creature has base power and toughness 1/1, or 4/5, until end of turn. That can shrink an attacker or win a combat for your creature.
Risks. These effects change only the base: counters and bonuses stay. An opposing response undoes the gain, and the card does nothing outside combat.
In the draft. A small late combat trick in a blue deck. One copy is enough, and only if you lack other spells.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 103 of 109
- Blue: rank 37 of 39
- Cost 1: rank 21 of 22
- Average pick: 9.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.6 % · 6,862 games
- 2 copies48.7 % · 478 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Artifist Acumen445 games · 54.8 % (instead of 47.9% expected)
- Archive Arbiter508 games · 57.5 % (instead of 52.1% expected)
- Ghalta the Immovable399 games · 54.4 % (instead of 49.1% expected)
- Emergency Phytomedic // Seed Suture419 games · 55.8 % (instead of 50.8% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Silence the Echo628 games · 45.1 % (instead of 50.5% expected)
- Break Under Pressure444 games · 48.6 % (instead of 53.7% expected)
- Void Extrapolator // Omit Variables528 games · 47.9 % (instead of 52.9% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
24. Diviner of Victory // Unwind History
7.6
146. Yuriko, Hope from the Shadows
5.6
172. Unsummon
5.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.