Ascendant Dustspeaker

Common · Creature — Orc Cleric

Pick rating

4.8WeakRank 184 of 266

Observed strength

55.3%Rank 172 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).

Why. A 3/4 flyer for five that puts a +1/+1 counter on another creature you control when it enters. At the beginning of combat it also exiles a card from a graveyard, handy against recursion.

Risks. Five mana is heavy, and the counter needs another creature. A removal spell costs you a whole turn.

In the draft. A fair aerial top-end common for white, especially white-red. One or two copies are plenty.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.3 %(set average : 56.3 %)
Card in the opening hand53.5 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game56.4 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)55.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 46 of 86
  • White: rank 25 of 32
  • Cost 5: rank 16 of 27
  • Average pick: 8.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

53,269 games57.3 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
18,534 games56.2 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
2,540 games48.0 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
1,348 games50.0 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
435 games43.9 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
105 games50.5 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.5 %· 8,376 games
All players, card in hand55.9 %· 36,319 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.8 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.1 %(set average : 52.8 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.5 % · 64,888 games
  • 2 copies56.5 % · 11,346 games
  • 3 copies59.9 % · 571 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.6 % · 18,925 games
  • Next two weeks55.6 % · 10,764 games
  • After that54.5 % · 6,630 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/W · 57 %

Played in 14% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Lorehold, the Historian

    70. Lorehold, the Historian

    6.6
  • Stirring Honormancer

    94. Stirring Honormancer

    6.2
  • Ajani's Response

    126. Ajani's Response

    5.6
  • Primary Research

    136. Primary Research

    5.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.