Campus Composer // Aqueous Aria
Uncommon · Creature — Merfolk Bard // Sorcery
4.8WeakRank 186 of 266
54.0%Rank 217 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).
Why. A 3/4 with ward 2 that enters prepared: you can later cast its spell for five mana, which creates a 3/3 Elemental creature token with flying. You get two bodies from one card.
Risks. Each half is costly: four mana then five. You lose tempo if the opponent has answers.
In the draft. Good value in blue decks that can be patient. It works in blue-red or blue-green; take it over ordinary cards.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.7 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 68 of 100
- Blue: rank 22 of 34
- Cost 4: rank 27 of 42
- Average pick: 6.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.2 % · 33,138 games
- 2 copies53.0 % · 3,267 games
- 3 copies49.4 % · 172 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks54.8 % · 10,979 games
- Next two weeks54.0 % · 4,213 games
- After that52.0 % · 2,481 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Germination Practicum1,238 games · 56.6 % (instead of 52.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Wilt in the Heat1,892 games · 51.6 % (instead of 54.5% expected)
- Resonating Lute2,951 games · 49.3 % (instead of 51.4% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 28 %
Played in 6.3% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
36. Applied Geometry
7.2
81. Proctor's Gaze
6.4
90. Resonating Lute
6.2
98. Brush Off
6.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.