Wilt in the Heat
Common · Instant
5.6PlayableRank 138 of 266
56.9%Rank 113 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.6/10).
Why. A red-white instant removal spell: five damage to a creature, with exile if it would die. It costs two less when a card left your graveyard this turn, which makes it very efficient in the right deck.
Risks. At full price it is a four-mana removal spell, solid but not a bargain. It is gold, so it commits you to two colors.
In the draft. Take it early if you are red-white; it is dependable removal. Outside those colors it does not deserve a high pick.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 23 of 86
- Multicolour: rank 45 of 77
- Cost 4: rank 21 of 42
- Average pick: 6.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.4 % · 72,657 games
- 2 copies57.2 % · 29,341 games
- 3 copies58.5 % · 5,652 games
- 4 copies or more56.3 % · 687 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.6 % · 32,548 games
- Next two weeks57.8 % · 16,512 games
- After that55.0 % · 9,309 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Choreographed Sparks476 games · 52.3 % (instead of 48.9% expected)
- The Dawning Archaic1,596 games · 56.6 % (instead of 53.9% expected)
- Zaffai and the Tempests1,035 games · 54.1 % (instead of 52.0% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Emeritus of Woe // Demonic Tutor785 games · 51.8 % (instead of 58.0% expected)
- Stirring Honormancer2,980 games · 53.6 % (instead of 58.8% expected)
Where it is played
R/W · 75 %
Played in 19% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
13. Ark of Hunger
8.3
42. Conciliator's Duelist
7.0
78. Silverquill, the Disputant
6.4
90. Resonating Lute
6.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.