Hardened Academic

Rare · Creature — Bird Cleric

Pick rating

8.6BombRank 9 of 266

Observed strength

60.6%Rank 19 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the 10 best cards of the set (8.6/10).

Why. A two-mana red-white creature with flying and haste that attacks right away. Discarding a card gives it lifelink until end of turn, and whenever cards leave your graveyard it puts a +1/+1 counter on a creature you control.

Risks. It is fragile at 1 toughness and needs both colours on turn two. Its last ability depends on effects that take cards out of the graveyard.

In the draft. An excellent card for an aggressive red-white deck, taken highly in that pair. Outside those colours it cannot be played.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game60.6 %(set average : 56.3 %)
Card in the opening hand61.7 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game60.0 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)83.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 6 of 60
  • Multicolour: rank 2 of 77
  • Cost 2: rank 2 of 69
  • Average pick: 2.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

25,785 games59.3 %(all pairs : 58.3 %)
1,325 games50.0 %(all pairs : 58.3 %)
1,300 games52.1 %(all pairs : 58.3 %)
270 games50.0 %(all pairs : 58.3 %)

splash

269 games46.1 %(all pairs : 58.3 %)

splash

160 games51.3 %(all pairs : 58.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand59.4 %· 3,182 games
All players, card in hand61.2 %· 13,821 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.9 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)55.6 %(set average : 52.8 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy58.0 % · 26,980 games
  • 2 copies61.1 % · 2,271 games
  • 3 copies62.3 % · 122 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks61.9 % · 7,712 games
  • Next two weeks61.1 % · 3,798 games
  • After that59.0 % · 2,311 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Informed Inkwright

    11. Informed Inkwright

    8.4
  • Traumatic Critique

    21. Traumatic Critique

    7.7
  • Molten-Core Maestro

    26. Molten-Core Maestro

    7.5
  • Silverquill Charm

    30. Silverquill Charm

    7.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.