Adorned Crocodile

Common · Creature — Crocodile

Pick rating

4.0WeakRank 234 of 271

Observed strength

52.1%Rank 236 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.0/10).

Why. A five-mana 5/3 that leaves behind a 2/2 black Zombie Druid creature token when it dies, so it trades for two bodies. From the graveyard, Renew turns the card into a +1/+1 counter for a single black mana.

Risks. Five mana for a 5/3 without evasion is slow, and it trades with a lesser creature. It is solid but unexciting.

In the draft. Decent black filler for a deck that wants resilient creatures. Take it late, after your removal and your better creatures.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.1 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand50.0 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game53.6 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)16.0 %(set average : 65.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 70 of 91
  • Black: rank 23 of 34
  • Cost 5: rank 28 of 32
  • Average pick: 11.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

9,953 games53.6 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
4,884 games53.0 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
2,896 games54.3 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
2,087 games52.7 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
1,125 games50.2 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
488 games51.0 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
463 games52.9 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)
259 games50.2 %(all pairs : 53.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.7 %· 1,550 games
All players, card in hand52.6 %· 9,707 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.0 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.3 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.1 % · 20,285 games
  • 2 copies53.3 % · 2,525 games
  • 3 copies46.7 % · 122 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.5 % · 6,972 games
  • Next two weeks53.1 % · 2,053 games
  • After that51.5 % · 682 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Betor, Kin to All

    8. Betor, Kin to All

    8.7
  • Teval, Arbiter of Virtue

    12. Teval, Arbiter of Virtue

    8.4
  • All-Out Assault

    13. All-Out Assault

    8.3
  • Lotuslight Dancers

    44. Lotuslight Dancers

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.