Humbling Elder
Common · Creature — Human Monk
5.4PlayableRank 148 of 271
54.6%Rank 175 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.4/10).
Why. A one-mana creature with flash: on entry, an opposing creature gets -2/-0 until end of turn. Cast during combat, it blows out an attack or turns a block into a winning one, and leaves a 1/2 behind.
Risks. The 1/2 body is small and the effect lasts a single turn: it wins a combat rather than killing anything. It struggles in a deck that wants real pressure.
In the draft. A small trick on legs for a tempo blue deck. Take it late, as a final piece of the curve, never over removal or real threats.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.3 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 26 of 91
- Blue: rank 17 of 34
- Cost 1: rank 13 of 18
- Average pick: 11.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.1 % · 29,273 games
- 2 copies53.5 % · 4,288 games
- 3 copies52.6 % · 331 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks54.9 % · 9,996 games
- Next two weeks54.5 % · 4,696 games
- After that58.1 % · 1,672 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Ugin, Eye of the Storms1,190 games · 60.9 % (instead of 58.1% expected)
- Jade-Cast Sentinel970 games · 53.7 % (instead of 51.1% expected)
- Sultai Monument2,424 games · 56.4 % (instead of 54.1% expected)
- Watcher of the Wayside598 games · 54.7 % (instead of 52.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Wild Ride1,448 games · 47.9 % (instead of 52.5% expected)
- Essence Anchor764 games · 47.0 % (instead of 50.5% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 35 %U/W · 28 %
Played in 6.2% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
88. Dragonstorm Forecaster
6.2
123. Spectral Denial
5.8
139. Unending Whisper
5.6
262. Ringing Strike Mastery
2.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.