Appa, Loyal Sky Bison

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Bison Ally

Pick rating

3.5WeakRank 254 of 281

Observed strength

51.8%Rank 242 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (3.5/10).

Why. A legendary 4/4 flier for six that, when it enters and each time it attacks, either gives one of your creatures flying or Airbends another nonland permanent of yours. Exiled permanents can be recast for two.

Risks. Six mana with two white is expensive. If the opponent kills it right away, you only got one trigger. The Airbend only pays off if you have good targets.

In the draft. A decent top-end in white, but not a standout. Take it mid-pack, especially if you are short on fliers.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.8 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand48.4 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game54.2 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -2.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)60.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 101 of 110
  • White: rank 37 of 40
  • Cost 6: rank 12 of 13
  • Average pick: 6.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

6,848 games53.0 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)
5,504 games56.1 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)
3,597 games55.1 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)
2,743 games54.2 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)
1,717 games60.5 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)
1,137 games48.3 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)
765 games52.9 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)
423 games48.7 %(all pairs : 54.2 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand52.0 %· 2,220 games
All players, card in hand53.2 %· 9,894 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.3 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.0 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.2 % · 23,210 games
  • 2 copies54.7 % · 733 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.2 % · 5,465 games
  • Next two weeks53.7 % · 2,717 games
  • After that52.6 % · 1,712 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.