Forecasting Fortune Teller
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Forecasting Fortune Teller

Common · Creature — Human Advisor Ally

Pick rating

6.2GoodRank 91 of 281

Observed strength

57.5%Rank 75 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.2/10).

Why. A two-mana 1/3 that creates a Clue token on entering. It blocks small creatures well and gives you a card to draw later: a good early body that replaces itself.

Risks. One power threatens nothing, and the Clue costs two mana to crack. It does not win the game on its own.

In the draft. A solid blue common, especially in a control or defensive deck. An Ally, so it helps the synergies.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.5 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand56.9 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game57.9 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)92.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 3 of 91
  • Blue: rank 13 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 21 of 74
  • Average pick: 4.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

41,611 games57.7 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
37,037 games57.3 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
24,213 games57.1 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
14,369 games55.6 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
8,136 games55.0 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
6,319 games53.4 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
3,756 games57.3 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
3,383 games53.1 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.3 %· 26,069 games
All players, card in hand57.9 %· 83,116 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.8 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.2 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.1 % · 99,120 games
  • 2 copies57.1 % · 40,361 games
  • 3 copies58.4 % · 9,880 games
  • 4 copies or more58.4 % · 1,946 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.4 % · 43,557 games
  • Next two weeks57.4 % · 23,018 games
  • After that57.4 % · 16,541 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

U/W · 66 %B/U · 64 %

Played in 27% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Wan Shi Tong, Librarian

    1. Wan Shi Tong, Librarian

    9.4
  • Knowledge Seeker

    56. Knowledge Seeker

    6.8
  • Benevolent River Spirit

    63. Benevolent River Spirit

    6.6
  • Hermitic Herbalist

    69. Hermitic Herbalist

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.