Wan Shi Tong, Librarian

Mythic · Legendary Creature — Bird Spirit

Pick rating

9.4BombRank 1 of 281

Observed strength

65.1%Rank 7 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

The best card of the set (9.4/10).

Why. A flexible threat at every stage of the game. With flash you cast it at the end of the opponent's turn with whatever X your mana allows: a growing flying vigilance body that draws cards from X=2. Every library search by the opponent gives it another counter and a card.

Risks. At low X it is a fragile 1/1 that draws little or nothing. It demands two blue mana, and a removal spell in response to the enters trigger leaves you without the counters.

In the draft. A very high first pick for any blue deck, and a bomb. It adapts to your curve, so it is rarely a dead card in hand.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game65.1 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand62.2 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game66.8 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +11.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)93.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 1 of 20
  • Blue: rank 1 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 1 of 74
  • Average pick: 1.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

4,837 games60.6 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)
3,995 games59.5 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)
3,107 games60.9 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)
2,193 games59.4 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)
1,154 games57.3 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)
694 games60.8 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)
599 games60.8 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)
508 games54.3 %(all pairs : 59.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand65.2 %· 2,618 games
All players, card in hand65.9 %· 8,885 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)61.6 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)57.0 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy59.2 % · 18,734 games
  • 2 copies63.1 % · 352 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks66.0 % · 4,458 games
  • Next two weeks65.3 % · 2,582 games
  • After that66.1 % · 1,845 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Knowledge Seeker

    56. Knowledge Seeker

    6.8
  • Benevolent River Spirit

    63. Benevolent River Spirit

    6.6
  • Hermitic Herbalist

    69. Hermitic Herbalist

    6.6
  • Sokka, Bold Boomeranger

    86. Sokka, Bold Boomeranger

    6.3

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.