Otter-Penguin
Common · Creature — Otter Bird
5.1PlayableRank 179 of 281
55.0%Rank 152 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.1/10).
Why. A two-mana blue 2/1 that becomes 3/3 and unblockable when you draw your second card each turn. With some card-draw effects it hits hard for its cost.
Risks. Without extra draw it is a plain, fragile 2/1. It dies to nearly everything and blocks nothing useful.
In the draft. A fair two-drop for a blue deck with card-draw spells. In a deck without draw, pass it.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.8 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 45 of 91
- Blue: rank 27 of 40
- Cost 2: rank 54 of 74
- Average pick: 8.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy55.5 % · 46,143 games
- 2 copies54.9 % · 20,039 games
- 3 copies54.4 % · 4,930 games
- 4 copies or more57.3 % · 1,189 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks55.3 % · 18,190 games
- Next two weeks55.4 % · 12,489 games
- After that55.1 % · 9,988 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Crescent Island Temple460 games · 53.3 % (instead of 48.9% expected)
- Price of Freedom542 games · 54.8 % (instead of 50.9% expected)
- Secret of Bloodbending560 games · 49.8 % (instead of 48.1% expected)
- Tiger-Seal2,260 games · 53.8 % (instead of 52.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Destined Confrontation348 games · 45.4 % (instead of 49.7% expected)
- Appa, Steadfast Guardian1,298 games · 53.7 % (instead of 56.9% expected)
Where it is played
B/U · 51 %R/U · 45 %
Played in 13% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
1. Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
9.4
56. Knowledge Seeker
6.8
63. Benevolent River Spirit
6.6
69. Hermitic Herbalist
6.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.