The Speed Demon

Mythic · Legendary Creature — Demon

Pick rating

7.2GoodRank 39 of 271

Observed strength

60.4%Rank 18 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good mythic of the format (7.2/10).

Why. A 5/5 with flying and trample that draws at least one card at the end of each of your turns once it lands, and more as your speed climbs. A value engine that also closes the game in the air.

Risks. You lose as much life as the cards you draw, up to four per turn at max speed. Against an aggressive deck it can kill you itself. It needs two black mana.

In the draft. A very good pick to take early, especially in a deck that holds the board and has some life gain.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game60.4 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand59.3 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game61.2 %(set average : 56.3 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)92.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 13 of 20
  • Black: rank 2 of 37
  • Cost 5: rank 7 of 30
  • Average pick: 1.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

7,002 games59.3 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
5,068 games56.2 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
4,072 games57.4 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
2,391 games56.6 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
762 games53.8 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
619 games52.0 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
401 games59.1 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
367 games55.0 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand59.9 %· 1,958 games
All players, card in hand60.7 %· 9,522 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.0 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.1 %(set average : 52.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.0 % · 21,622 games
  • 2 copies57.9 % · 278 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks60.3 % · 5,554 games
  • Next two weeks61.4 % · 2,846 games
  • After that60.9 % · 1,122 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Coalstoke Gearhulk

    43. Coalstoke Gearhulk

    7.0
  • Back on Track

    86. Back on Track

    6.2
  • Haunt the Network

    91. Haunt the Network

    6.2
  • Risen Necroregent

    219. Risen Necroregent

    4.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.