Willowrush Verge
Rare · Land
6.6GoodRank 70 of 271
55.8%Rank 112 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A very good rare of the format (6.6/10).
Why. A blue-green fixing land: it always taps for blue and also makes green once you control a Forest or an Island. It enters untapped, so it smooths out a blue-green deck at no cost.
Risks. With no Forest or Island in play it only makes blue. It does nothing for a deck that is not truly blue-green.
In the draft. A fair mid-pack pick if you are blue-green, but do not take it over a good removal spell or a solid creature. Outside those two colours, skip it.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 37 of 60
- Colourless: rank 4 of 42
- Cost 0: rank 3 of 25
- Average pick: 5.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.8 % · 28,532 games
- 2 copies54.4 % · 700 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks56.3 % · 7,869 games
- Next two weeks54.4 % · 3,834 games
- After that55.1 % · 1,417 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Caelorna, Coral Tyrant1,739 games · 54.9 % (instead of 53.1% expected)
- Broadside Barrage2,851 games · 56.3 % (instead of 54.6% expected)
- Reef Roads2,567 games · 56.1 % (instead of 54.6% expected)
- Waxen Shapethief1,814 games · 53.6 % (instead of 52.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Chitin Gravestalker1,491 games · 49.5 % (instead of 53.6% expected)
- Broodheart Engine2,551 games · 52.8 % (instead of 55.8% expected)
- Alacrian Jaguar2,649 games · 49.7 % (instead of 52.7% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
38. Marketback Walker
7.2
69. Sunbillow Verge
6.6
72. Bleachbone Verge
6.5
77. Riverpyre Verge
6.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.