Spectral Sailor
Uncommon · Creature — Spirit Pirate
7.4Very goodRank 32 of 271
58.8%Rank 33 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid uncommon of the format (7.4/10).
Why. A one-mana 1/1 flyer with Flash. Later, for four mana, you draw a card: it gives you a mana sink for the late game. It can ambush-block or attack in the air.
Risks. It is a 1/1: it dies to anything and attacks weakly. Drawing costs four mana each time.
In the draft. A good pick for a blue deck, especially control or tempo. It is solid but not exceptional.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 8 of 101
- Blue: rank 6 of 44
- Cost 1: rank 2 of 28
- Average pick: 3.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy55.6 % · 80,654 games
- 2 copies57.2 % · 12,363 games
- 3 copies57.8 % · 975 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.5 % · 28,874 games
- Next two weeks58.7 % · 14,858 games
- After that59.3 % · 2,329 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Chandra, Flameshaper1,628 games · 60.8 % (instead of 57.5% expected)
- Rise of the Dark Realms789 games · 56.3 % (instead of 52.9% expected)
- Seismic Rupture1,955 games · 55.4 % (instead of 52.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Swiftfoot Boots650 games · 45.4 % (instead of 49.6% expected)
- Twinblade Blessing478 games · 47.7 % (instead of 50.8% expected)
Where it is played
U/W · 34 %B/U · 32 %
Played in 12% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
100. Fleeting Distraction
6.0
188. An Offer You Can't Refuse
4.8
210. Witness Protection
4.5
246. Aegis Turtle
3.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.