Ardyn, the Usurper
Rare · Legendary Creature — Elder Human Noble
8.6BombRank 10 of 294
64.5%Rank 3 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the 10 best cards of the set (8.6/10).
Why. An eight-mana 4/4 whose every beginning of combat exiles a creature card from a graveyard and makes a 5/5 Demon copy: with menace, lifelink and haste it attacks right away. A long game is a won game with it.
Risks. Eight mana including three black: it arrives late and can rot in hand. It needs creature cards in a graveyard, and it dies to removal before it ever triggers.
In the draft. A late-game bomb in black, especially in a slow deck with removal. Take it as a single top-end finisher, not as a pair.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +12.0 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 4 of 74
- Black: rank 2 of 42
- Cost 8: rank 1 of 4
- Average pick: 1.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy58.4 % · 36,524 games
- 2 copies58.5 % · 961 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks65.1 % · 9,329 games
- Next two weeks64.6 % · 5,692 games
- After that65.1 % · 1,706 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Reach the Horizon2,614 games · 59.4 % (instead of 55.8% expected)
- Summoner's Grimoire387 games · 58.1 % (instead of 54.8% expected)
- Emet-Selch, Unsundered // Hades, Sorcerer of Eld1,084 games · 60.1 % (instead of 57.5% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Elixir175 games · 46.9 % (instead of 50.6% expected)
- Rufus Shinra2,611 games · 54.9 % (instead of 58.4% expected)
- Phantom Train2,324 games · 54.7 % (instead of 57.6% expected)
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.