Sahagin
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Sahagin

Common · Creature — Merfolk Warrior

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 74 of 294

Observed strength

58.1%Rank 84 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the best commons of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A 1/3 for two that holds the ground early. Whenever you cast a noncreature spell with at least four mana spent, it gets a +1/+1 counter and can't be blocked that turn.

Risks. Without expensive spells it is just a 1/3 blocker. The trigger needs at least four mana spent, so cheap spells do not count.

In the draft. A fine blue common, best in a deck with several spells costing four or more. Do not overvalue it in a creature-heavy build.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.1 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card in the opening hand58.2 %(set average : 55.2 %)
Card drawn during the game58.0 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)82.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 8 of 90
  • Blue: rank 12 of 41
  • Cost 2: rank 15 of 63
  • Average pick: 6.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

72,218 games58.3 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
37,744 games56.2 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
17,225 games55.2 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
12,803 games54.8 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
7,645 games51.4 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
5,506 games53.4 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
2,523 games50.5 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
2,411 games57.7 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.3 %· 26,184 games
All players, card in hand58.2 %· 94,623 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.6 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.2 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.4 % · 91,064 games
  • 2 copies57.1 % · 48,174 games
  • 3 copies58.3 % · 17,070 games
  • 4 copies or more59.8 % · 5,142 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.5 % · 49,765 games
  • Next two weeks58.0 % · 34,462 games
  • After that57.4 % · 10,396 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Where it is played

R/U · 78 %U/W · 52 %

Played in 21% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell

    21. The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell

    7.8
  • Ultros, Obnoxious Octopus

    36. Ultros, Obnoxious Octopus

    7.4
  • Il Mheg Pixie

    47. Il Mheg Pixie

    7.0
  • Astrologian's Planisphere

    81. Astrologian's Planisphere

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.