The Lunar Whale

Rare · Legendary Artifact — Vehicle

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 77 of 294

Observed strength

59.3%Rank 43 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A 3/5 flying Vehicle with crew 1. You can look at the top card of your library any time, and play it once the Vehicle has attacked this turn: a big aerial threat that also generates value.

Risks. It needs a creature to crew it, and like any Vehicle it is exposed to artifact removal. If it does not attack, you cannot play the top card.

In the draft. Good in blue: it attacks in the air for 3 while giving card advantage. Take it fairly high and play small creatures to crew it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game59.3 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card in the opening hand58.2 %(set average : 55.2 %)
Card drawn during the game60.0 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)96.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 24 of 74
  • Blue: rank 13 of 41
  • Cost 4: rank 16 of 51
  • Average pick: 2.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

10,325 games59.0 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
8,361 games56.6 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
7,907 games56.0 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
5,358 games57.3 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
2,977 games56.4 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
1,362 games58.4 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)

splash

1,309 games50.2 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
782 games50.8 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.1 %· 4,860 games
All players, card in hand59.5 %· 19,013 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.5 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.7 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.6 % · 41,310 games
  • 2 copies56.4 % · 1,129 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks59.7 % · 10,468 games
  • Next two weeks59.2 % · 6,629 games
  • After that60.0 % · 1,916 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Summon: Leviathan3,285 games · 59.7 % (instead of 57.3% expected)
  • Elixir227 games · 51.1 % (instead of 48.8% expected)
  • The Regalia1,938 games · 59.1 % (instead of 56.8% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Memories Returning

    37. Memories Returning

    7.3
  • Sidequest: Card Collection // Magicked Card

    56. Sidequest: Card Collection // Magicked Card

    6.8
  • Eject

    80. Eject

    6.4
  • Choco, Seeker of Paradise

    124. Choco, Seeker of Paradise

    5.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.