Unexpected Request

Uncommon · Sorcery

Pick rating

5.0PlayableRank 199 of 294

Observed strength

53.0%Rank 251 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).

Why. A three-mana sorcery that gains control of a creature until end of turn, untaps it and gives it haste. You may also attach an Equipment to it. A burst of damage that can also remove a blocker for the turn.

Risks. The effect lasts only a turn and does not kill the creature. Without a way to sacrifice or use it, it is a weak card.

In the draft. A niche card for a red sacrifice deck. Otherwise pass it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.0 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card in the opening hand49.7 %(set average : 55.2 %)
Card drawn during the game55.4 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)17.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 75 of 110
  • Red: rank 23 of 42
  • Cost 3: rank 39 of 67
  • Average pick: 10.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

5,007 games53.9 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)
3,524 games53.9 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)
927 games47.1 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)
736 games53.0 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)
280 games44.6 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)
206 games51.9 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)
144 games52.8 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)
127 games52.8 %(all pairs : 52.9 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.3 %· 1,038 games
All players, card in hand53.4 %· 4,890 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.6 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.3 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.0 % · 10,230 games
  • 2 copies51.8 % · 983 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.0 % · 2,647 games
  • Next two weeks53.9 % · 1,674 games
  • After that53.8 % · 569 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Vivi Ornitier

    15. Vivi Ornitier

    8.2
  • Samurai's Katana

    24. Samurai's Katana

    7.6
  • Shantotto, Tactician Magician

    26. Shantotto, Tactician Magician

    7.6
  • Lightning, Army of One

    40. Lightning, Army of One

    7.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.