Cryotheory Adept

Common · Creature — Human Wizard

Pick rating

4.4WeakRank 220 of 280

Observed strength

53.3%Rank 190 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.4/10).

Why. A 2/1 prowess creature for two mana, fine in a spell-heavy deck. Even dead, its graveyard ability costs four mana to tap a creature and put a stun counter on it, at sorcery speed.

Risks. A small body that blocks little. Outside a spell-heavy deck, prowess rarely triggers.

In the draft. Decent blue filler for a deck with noncreature spells. Mid to late pick.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.3 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand53.5 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game53.2 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.1 win-rate points

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 48 of 81
  • Blue: rank 30 of 39
  • Cost 2: rank 68 of 82
  • Average pick: 9.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

7,822 games54.4 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
7,309 games53.9 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
5,604 games55.5 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
1,503 games49.6 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
929 games53.4 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
891 games54.4 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
759 games52.0 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
700 games51.3 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.2 %· 1,682 games
All players, card in hand54.1 %· 13,992 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.7 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.2 %(set average : 53.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.2 % · 21,123 games
  • 2 copies53.4 % · 4,798 games
  • 3 copies50.6 % · 573 games
  • 4 copies or more48.6 % · 107 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Avatar of Burgeoning Echoes

    5. Avatar of Burgeoning Echoes

    8.9
  • Proctor of Potential

    31. Proctor of Potential

    7.4
  • Proft, Consulting Detective

    69. Proft, Consulting Detective

    6.6
  • Fatehold Charm

    79. Fatehold Charm

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.