Wrecking Gecko

Common · Artifact Creature — Lizard Construct

Pick rating

1.4WeakRank 277 of 280

Observed strength

54.6%Rank 157 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

It wins more than its rating suggests.

Why this gap?

The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.

Almost unplayable and mostly sideboard material (1.5/10).

Why. A 5/5 for five mana with ward 2, which protects it well from targeted removal. Late in the game, eight mana gives it +4/+4 and trample until end of turn. A solid body for a green common.

Risks. It is still a 5/5 with no evasion: a double block or a non-targeted removal handles it. Five mana is a heavy turn if you have no plan before.

In the draft. Good filler for the top of a green curve. Take it after removal and the best creatures, but before tricks.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.6 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand53.7 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game55.2 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.9 win-rate points

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 81 of 81
  • Green: rank 36 of 37
  • Cost 5: rank 23 of 23
  • Average pick: 9.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

10,229 games55.6 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
6,036 games55.2 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
5,010 games53.0 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
3,030 games52.2 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
1,626 games56.2 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
1,313 games52.2 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
1,045 games51.9 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
891 games53.3 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.6 %· 1,420 games
All players, card in hand55.3 %· 15,064 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.9 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.6 %(set average : 53.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.3 % · 26,615 games
  • 2 copies53.9 % · 4,169 games
  • 3 copies55.0 % · 378 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Garruk, Curse Breaker

    6. Garruk, Curse Breaker

    8.8
  • Hungering Puppetbeast

    35. Hungering Puppetbeast

    7.4
  • Hapatra, the Desert Fang

    86. Hapatra, the Desert Fang

    6.3
  • Edgar, Moonlit Sovereign

    116. Edgar, Moonlit Sovereign

    5.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.