Winter, Tormented Loner
Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Human Warlock
5.8PlayableRank 129 of 280
53.8%Rank 179 of 271 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).
Why. A 0/3 that, on entering, may sacrifice a creature or planeswalker (itself included) to make the opponent sacrifice a creature of their choice. It gets +1/+0 for each creature and planeswalker card in your graveyard.
Risks. It needs you to sacrifice something, and the opponent picks their creature. With an empty graveyard it's a 0/3 with little offence.
In the draft. Fine in a black deck with tokens or expendable creatures. Take it at a middling pick; blue-black and black-green are its most cited pairs.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.7 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 57 of 109
- Black: rank 18 of 39
- Cost 3: rank 29 of 73
- Average pick: 7.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.4 % · 19,566 games
- 2 copies55.4 % · 2,047 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- The Echoverse Fulcrum538 games · 61.7 % (instead of 56.1% expected)
- Simulacrum Shaper736 games · 60.6 % (instead of 55.7% expected)
- Emrakul, the Exigent Doom288 games · 56.6 % (instead of 52.0% expected)
- Wrecking Gecko1,574 games · 57.3 % (instead of 53.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Campus Crier1,916 games · 52.4 % (instead of 55.1% expected)
- Memory Trap1,942 games · 51.8 % (instead of 54.4% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
4. Ingris Stingerquill
9.0
22. Vraska, the Cutting Glare
7.7
34. Vindictive Triumph
7.4
58. Gideon the Oathless
6.8
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.