Thranduil, Sindarin Liege // Silvan Rally

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Elf Noble // Sorcery — Adventure

Pick rating

6.0PlayableRank 75 of 188

Observed strength

58.2%Rank 46 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).

Why. A four-mana 2/3 that creates a 1/1 green Elf creature token for each land you play, and your other Elves get +1/+1: your tokens are 2/2s. In a long game the army grows every turn. The Adventure Silvan Rally, a sorcery, mills four cards and keeps up to two lands.

Risks. The body alone is mediocre, and the tokens only come from playing lands: a hand without extra lands slows everything down. Removal before your next land cancels most of the value.

In the draft. A good mid-pack card for green or blue decks (the hybrid cost accepts both). The tokens are enough, even without an Elf theme.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.2 %(set average : 56.5 %)
Card in the opening hand56.4 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card drawn during the game59.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)86.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 25 of 55
  • Multicolour: rank 12 of 26
  • Cost 4: rank 14 of 31
  • Average pick: 3.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

12,197 games54.1 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)
10,620 games57.2 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)

splash

8,786 games56.5 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)

splash

2,092 games53.9 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)

splash

996 games52.9 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)

splash

966 games57.3 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)

splash

791 games57.6 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)

splash

648 games56.8 %(all pairs : 55.6 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.4 %· 4,641 games
All players, card in hand58.3 %· 19,439 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)61.2 %(set average : 60.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.9 %(set average : 51.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.3 % · 31,590 games
  • 2 copies57.1 % · 7,031 games
  • 3 copies56.7 % · 582 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks57.7 % · 13,084 games
  • Next two weeks59.5 % · 3,985 games
  • After that59.9 % · 2,370 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/U · 59 %B/G · 28 %

Played in 12% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Bard's Company

    30. Bard's Company

    7.0
  • Thranduil's Company

    40. Thranduil's Company

    6.8
  • Radagast of Rhosgobel

    72. Radagast of Rhosgobel

    6.0
  • Eagle's Rescue

    80. Eagle's Rescue

    5.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.