Lion Umbra

Uncommon · Enchantment — Aura

Pick rating

4.8WeakRank 214 of 302

Observed strength

51.9%Rank 234 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).

Why. A two-mana Aura that gives +3/+3, reach and vigilance to a modified creature and protects it from destruction with umbra armor. On the right target it turns a small body into a serious threat.

Risks. It can only enchant a modified creature, so it depends on a counter, Equipment or Aura already in place. Two green mana right away.

In the draft. A card for a green deck with plenty of counters or Equipment. Otherwise skip it; it is often dead in hand.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.9 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand51.3 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game52.4 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)37.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 77 of 120
  • Green: rank 22 of 32
  • Cost 2: rank 66 of 86
  • Average pick: 9.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

10,734 games55.8 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)
4,234 games51.4 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)
3,252 games54.9 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)
1,951 games49.2 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)
1,570 games48.0 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)
856 games48.9 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)
641 games55.2 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)
553 games52.8 %(all pairs : 53.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand50.5 %· 1,716 games
All players, card in hand52.2 %· 9,356 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.3 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.4 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.4 % · 22,321 games
  • 2 copies52.5 % · 2,167 games
  • 3 copies54.3 % · 175 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.7 % · 5,804 games
  • Next two weeks51.0 % · 2,663 games
  • After that52.8 % · 889 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Fanatic of Rhonas

    10. Fanatic of Rhonas

    8.6
  • Springheart Nantuko

    16. Springheart Nantuko

    8.2
  • Malevolent Rumble

    34. Malevolent Rumble

    7.4
  • Nightshade Dryad

    42. Nightshade Dryad

    7.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.