Black Panther, Vanguard

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Human Warrior Hero

Pick rating

6.0PlayableRank 101 of 276

Observed strength

55.1%Rank 158 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.8%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

It wins less than its rating suggests.

Why this gap?

The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).

Why. A 4/4 for four that gains value whenever another nontoken Hero enters: either a 1/1 white Soldier creature token or +1/+1 for your whole team until end of turn. The body alone already earns its slot.

Risks. Green-white gold, so it is unplayable outside those colors. With no other Heroes it is just a big body with no ability to speak of, and a removal spell answers it cleanly.

In the draft. A fair pick for green-white decks, especially with several cheap Heroes to trigger it in the following turns.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.1 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Card in the opening hand54.0 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game55.7 %(set average : 57.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)73.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 26 of 100
  • Multicolour: rank 26 of 44
  • Cost 4: rank 22 of 52
  • Average pick: 4.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

17,515 games57.3 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
2,840 games53.6 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
2,257 games54.6 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)

splash

1,666 games53.0 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
966 games53.5 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
915 games56.0 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)

splash

621 games52.7 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)

splash

605 games54.7 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.1 %· 3,095 games
All players, card in hand56.1 %· 13,194 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.2 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.8 %(set average : 53.6 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.9 % · 24,608 games
  • 2 copies56.5 % · 4,071 games
  • 3 copies55.8 % · 206 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks57.0 % · 8,744 games
  • Next two weeks55.0 % · 3,923 games
  • After that50.3 % · 527 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/W · 48 %

Played in 7.6% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Wolverine, Fierce Fighter

    19. Wolverine, Fierce Fighter

    7.9
  • The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl

    34. The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl

    7.4
  • Killmonger, Scourge of Wakanda

    40. Killmonger, Scourge of Wakanda

    7.2
  • Storm, Windrider

    42. Storm, Windrider

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.