Sneering Shadewriter

Common · Creature — Vampire Warlock

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 257 of 266

Observed strength

52.7%Rank 254 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A five-mana 3/3 flyer that drains two life when it enters. It combines evasion and life gain, which also turns on Infusion.

Risks. Five mana for a 3/3: fine, no more, and fragile to removal. The drain stays modest.

In the draft. A passable black common, playable in nearly every black deck. A late-pack pick.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.7 %(set average : 56.3 %)
Card in the opening hand50.3 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game54.3 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)40.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 78 of 86
  • Black: rank 33 of 34
  • Cost 5: rank 26 of 27
  • Average pick: 9.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

22,678 games53.6 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
17,435 games55.6 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
1,748 games51.7 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
1,071 games45.9 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
887 games49.2 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
115 games53.0 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.4 %· 4,179 games
All players, card in hand53.3 %· 20,120 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.7 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.2 %(set average : 52.8 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.0 % · 38,540 games
  • 2 copies53.6 % · 5,720 games
  • 3 copies55.6 % · 396 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.8 % · 11,703 games
  • Next two weeks53.1 % · 5,308 games
  • After that51.8 % · 3,109 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/G · 35 %

Played in 8.3% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Arcane Omens

    41. Arcane Omens

    7.0
  • Decorum Dissertation

    61. Decorum Dissertation

    6.6
  • Stirring Honormancer

    94. Stirring Honormancer

    6.2
  • Root Manipulation

    224. Root Manipulation

    4.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.