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Spellbook Seeker // Careful Study

Common · Creature — Bird Wizard // Sorcery

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 258 of 266

Observed strength

50.6%Rank 289 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A four-mana 3/3 flyer that enters prepared. Its prepared side costs a single blue mana: draw two cards then discard two, good for filtering your hand or stocking the graveyard.

Risks. A decent body, but the prepared side gives you no extra card: you discard as many as you draw. A four-mana 3/3 flyer is still vulnerable to removal.

In the draft. A playable blue flyer, taken late in the pack. Best in a deck that needs evasion.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game50.6 %(set average : 56.3 %)

Card in the opening hand47.2 %(set average : 54.9 %)

Card drawn during the game52.6 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)20.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

Common: rank 79 of 86
Blue: rank 34 of 34
Cost 4: rank 40 of 42
Average pick: 10.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.