Scathing Shadelock // Venomous Words

Uncommon · Creature — Snake Warlock // Sorcery

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 256 of 266

Observed strength

52.4%Rank 259 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A five-mana 4/6 that becomes prepared at the beginning of your first main phase. Its prepared side gives one of your creatures +2/+0 and deathtouch: a good attack turn.

Risks. Five mana is expensive, and the prepared side only helps if you have a creature that can attack. A big body, but without evasion.

In the draft. A passable black body for a control or combat deck. A late-pack pick, better in black-white decks.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.4 %(set average : 56.3 %)
Card in the opening hand51.3 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game53.1 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)51.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 99 of 100
  • Black: rank 32 of 34
  • Cost 5: rank 25 of 27
  • Average pick: 7.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

13,230 games55.1 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
8,096 games53.4 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
752 games45.9 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
554 games44.0 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
548 games44.0 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
101 games54.5 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand50.1 %· 1,612 games
All players, card in hand52.8 %· 10,154 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.9 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.2 %(set average : 52.8 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.8 % · 22,353 games
  • 2 copies51.2 % · 1,291 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.8 % · 6,274 games
  • Next two weeks52.4 % · 2,453 games
  • After that53.0 % · 1,427 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Arcane Omens

    41. Arcane Omens

    7.0
  • Decorum Dissertation

    61. Decorum Dissertation

    6.6
  • Stirring Honormancer

    94. Stirring Honormancer

    6.2
  • Root Manipulation

    224. Root Manipulation

    4.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.