Stirring Hopesinger

Rare · Creature — Bird Bard

Pick rating

8.9BombRank 5 of 266

Observed strength

62.7%Rank 8 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the 10 best cards of the set (8.9/10).

Why. A small flier with lifelink that also blocks well on the ground thanks to its toughness. With Repartee, every instant or sorcery that targets a creature puts a +1/+1 counter on each creature you control.

Risks. It has only 1 power, so without spells that target creatures it stays modest. Cheap removal deals with it easily.

In the draft. An excellent white pick if your deck has several spells that target creatures, combat tricks included. It is still fine on its own thanks to flying and lifelink.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game62.7 %(set average : 56.3 %)
Card in the opening hand63.2 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game62.3 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +7.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)92.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 3 of 60
  • White: rank 3 of 32
  • Cost 3: rank 3 of 66
  • Average pick: 1.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

13,867 games60.1 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)
12,663 games60.1 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)
1,165 games54.6 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)

splash

1,052 games58.4 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)
1,004 games54.7 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)

splash

975 games52.3 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)
612 games49.5 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)
503 games55.3 %(all pairs : 58.9 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand60.2 %· 3,507 games
All players, card in hand63.0 %· 15,136 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)61.5 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)56.3 %(set average : 52.8 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy58.7 % · 31,957 games
  • 2 copies62.2 % · 1,169 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks63.8 % · 8,319 games
  • Next two weeks61.7 % · 4,275 games
  • After that62.7 % · 2,542 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Practiced Offense

    1. Practiced Offense

    9.4
  • Antiquities on the Loose

    2. Antiquities on the Loose

    9.3
  • Emeritus of Truce // Swords to Plowshares

    28. Emeritus of Truce // Swords to Plowshares

    7.4
  • Suspend Aggression

    56. Suspend Aggression

    6.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.