Textbook Tabulator

Common · Creature — Frog Wizard

Pick rating

2.3WeakRank 244 of 266

Observed strength

53.0%Rank 246 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.3/10).

Why. A three-mana 0/3 that surveils 2 when it enters. With Increment, its power of 0 lets it grow on nearly any spell you cast at first, then more slowly. It arrives small, but it eventually becomes decent.

Risks. It does not hit at all at first, and the bigger it gets, the more mana you need to spend to keep growing it. Against an aggressive deck it takes too long to matter.

In the draft. A blue filler for midrange decks. A late pick, but it does more than a creature with no ability.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.0 %(set average : 56.3 %)
Card in the opening hand51.0 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game54.3 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)29.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 74 of 86
  • Blue: rank 31 of 34
  • Cost 3: rank 60 of 66
  • Average pick: 10.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

12,189 games51.1 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)
11,205 games52.9 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)
5,495 games50.0 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)
2,048 games52.1 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)
1,302 games48.9 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)
350 games48.3 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)
303 games53.5 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)
248 games50.0 %(all pairs : 51.4 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand52.9 %· 3,733 games
All players, card in hand52.7 %· 16,808 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)54.0 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)48.8 %(set average : 52.8 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy51.5 % · 28,564 games
  • 2 copies50.3 % · 4,704 games
  • 3 copies55.8 % · 328 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.8 % · 8,086 games
  • Next two weeks52.5 % · 4,968 games
  • After that52.5 % · 3,754 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Colorstorm Stallion

    16. Colorstorm Stallion

    8.1
  • Jadzi, Steward of Fate // Oracle's Gift

    43. Jadzi, Steward of Fate // Oracle's Gift

    7.0
  • Pensive Professor

    45. Pensive Professor

    7.0
  • Mana Sculpt

    53. Mana Sculpt

    6.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.