Yathan Roadwatcher

Rare · Creature — Human Scout

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 71 of 271

Observed strength

56.9%Rank 82 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A four-mana 3/3 that mills four cards, then returns a creature card with mana value 3 or less from your graveyard to the battlefield, possibly one it just milled. Two bodies for one card.

Risks. Three colours by turn four is hard to hit on time. It must be cast from your hand, and with no creature card of mana value 3 or less in the graveyard it is just a 3/3.

In the draft. Only take it if you're already set up in white, black and green. Otherwise it isn't worth the mana demands.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game56.9 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand55.5 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game57.8 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)68.0 %(set average : 65.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 44 of 60
  • Multicolour: rank 27 of 66
  • Cost 4: rank 11 of 44
  • Average pick: 4.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

9,299 games55.7 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
1,362 games52.3 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

1,215 games52.8 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
876 games58.4 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

867 games55.6 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
354 games56.2 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

304 games50.7 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
211 games50.2 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.3 %· 1,101 games
All players, card in hand56.6 %· 6,487 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.0 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.1 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.1 % · 13,861 games
  • 2 copies55.2 % · 1,114 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.6 % · 4,056 games
  • Next two weeks55.8 % · 1,784 games
  • After that58.7 % · 647 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Revival of the Ancestors

    19. Revival of the Ancestors

    7.9
  • Neriv, Heart of the Storm

    25. Neriv, Heart of the Storm

    7.6
  • Scavenger Regent // Exude Toxin

    27. Scavenger Regent // Exude Toxin

    7.5
  • Eshki Dragonclaw

    30. Eshki Dragonclaw

    7.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.