South Wind Avatar
Rare · Creature — Snake Spirit Avatar
5.8PlayableRank 88 of 190
55.8%Rank 120 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).
Why. A 3/4 deathtouch for four that gains you life when your other creatures die and drains the opponent whenever you gain life. A fine blocker that also punishes combat.
Risks. One removal stops it, and it only shines when creatures die or you gain life. It does little in a slow game.
In the draft. A good black card for a defensive deck. It gets better with other lifegain sources.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 27 of 53
- Black: rank 15 of 28
- Cost 4: rank 14 of 32
- Average pick: 2.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy55.8 % · 6,965 games
- 2 copies54.6 % · 194 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks56.6 % · 2,183 games
- Next two weeks55.8 % · 878 games
- After that59.9 % · 167 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Sally Pride, Lioness Leader532 games · 65.8 % (instead of 60.8% expected)
- Turtle Van399 games · 60.2 % (instead of 55.3% expected)
- Michelangelo, Mutant BFF936 games · 58.4 % (instead of 54.3% expected)
- Splinter's Technique197 games · 55.8 % (instead of 51.6% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Krang & Shredder398 games · 49.2 % (instead of 55.1% expected)
- Buzz Bots409 games · 50.9 % (instead of 55.9% expected)
- Donatello, Turtle Techie496 games · 51.4 % (instead of 56.2% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
84. Lord Dregg, Insect Invader
5.8
102. Anchovy & Banana Pizza
5.4
108. Shark Shredder, Killer Clone
5.4
159. Splinter's Technique
4.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.