Adept Watershaper

Rare · Creature — Merfolk Cleric

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 59 of 264

Observed strength

57.9%Rank 70 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A three-mana 3/4 that gives indestructible to your other tapped creatures. When you attack, your attackers without vigilance survive blocks and damage.

Risks. The bonus doesn't protect against exile, sacrifice or negative stat changes, nor your untapped creatures. It does nothing on its own.

In the draft. A fair pick for white, especially blue-white. It makes attacks safer in an aggressive deck.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.9 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand58.0 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game57.7 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)91.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 30 of 61
  • White: rank 10 of 41
  • Cost 3: rank 13 of 66
  • Average pick: 2.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

12,390 games56.6 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
5,755 games57.8 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
898 games53.9 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
677 games51.8 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
608 games52.0 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
497 games46.9 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
253 games54.9 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)

splash

244 games44.3 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand56.8 %· 2,360 games
All players, card in hand57.9 %· 9,848 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.4 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.1 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.6 % · 21,812 games
  • 2 copies58.4 % · 920 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks57.9 % · 6,751 games
  • Next two weeks57.4 % · 2,256 games
  • After that59.3 % · 841 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Brigid's Command

    13. Brigid's Command

    8.3
  • Ajani, Outland Chaperone

    15. Ajani, Outland Chaperone

    8.1
  • Eclipsed Merrow

    34. Eclipsed Merrow

    7.3
  • Brigid, Clachan's Heart // Brigid, Doun's Mind

    41. Brigid, Clachan's Heart // Brigid, Doun's Mind

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.