Abigale, Eloquent First-Year

Rare · Legendary Creature — Bird Bard

Pick rating

6.7GoodRank 58 of 264

Observed strength

58.4%Rank 60 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (6.7/10).

Why. A two-mana hybrid 1/1 with flying, first strike and lifelink. When it enters, another creature loses all abilities, then gets flying, first strike and lifelink counters: a way to turn a big vanilla creature into a real threat.

Risks. The 1/1 is very fragile, and the effect can strip a useful ability from the targeted creature. It needs a good target.

In the draft. A fair pick for white or black decks with big creatures. It finds a home in several archetypes.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.4 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand55.8 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game60.3 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)95.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 29 of 61
  • Multicolour: rank 20 of 49
  • Cost 2: rank 15 of 72
  • Average pick: 1.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

6,240 games58.9 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

5,059 games55.7 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

4,961 games58.3 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

3,484 games55.1 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

1,136 games53.3 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
846 games50.8 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
668 games53.0 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

599 games51.3 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.0 %· 2,614 games
All players, card in hand58.2 %· 10,887 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.6 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.2 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.9 % · 25,178 games
  • 2 copies58.0 % · 469 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.4 % · 7,482 games
  • Next two weeks57.8 % · 2,453 games
  • After that57.8 % · 952 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Deepchannel Duelist

    24. Deepchannel Duelist

    7.6
  • Bitterbloom Bearer

    33. Bitterbloom Bearer

    7.4
  • Boggart Cursecrafter

    40. Boggart Cursecrafter

    7.0
  • Eclipsed Kithkin

    44. Eclipsed Kithkin

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.