Cinder Strike
Common · Sorcery
5.8PlayableRank 110 of 264
55.7%Rank 119 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).
Why. A one-mana red sorcery that deals 2 damage to a creature, or 4 if you pay blight 1. For one mana, it is a flexible removal that kills small creatures early and bigger ones later.
Risks. It is a sorcery, so no combat tricks or reactions. Reaching 4 damage means putting a counter on one of your creatures, which is a real cost on a small board.
In the draft. A good, cheap common removal for a red deck. Take it early, especially if your deck can pay blight without suffering.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.7 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 2 of 81
- Red: rank 13 of 40
- Cost 1: rank 11 of 22
- Average pick: 5.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.9 % · 75,451 games
- 2 copies55.7 % · 32,033 games
- 3 copies55.9 % · 7,335 games
- 4 copies or more52.2 % · 1,273 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks55.8 % · 42,047 games
- Next two weeks56.7 % · 14,684 games
- After that57.1 % · 5,336 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Mornsong Aria204 games · 53.9 % (instead of 49.0% expected)
- Lavaleaper819 games · 51.5 % (instead of 47.6% expected)
- Perfect Intimidation838 games · 51.3 % (instead of 48.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Wanderwine Farewell2,337 games · 50.9 % (instead of 56.0% expected)
- Morningtide's Light487 games · 48.5 % (instead of 53.4% expected)
- Mutable Explorer1,424 games · 50.1 % (instead of 54.1% expected)
Where it is played
B/R · 65 %R/U · 63 %
Played in 22% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
12. End-Blaze Epiphany
8.4
119. Soulbright Seeker
5.8
253. Impolite Entrance
2.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.