Bitterbloom Bearer

Mythic · Creature — Faerie Rogue

Pick rating

7.4Very goodRank 33 of 264

Observed strength

57.9%Rank 67 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good mythic of the format (7.4/10).

Why. A 1/1 flash flier for two black mana that creates a 1/1 blue and black Faerie creature token with flying at each of your upkeeps, at the cost of 1 life. Left alive, it fills the sky with threats.

Risks. It costs you 1 life per turn and stays a 1/1: removal or a block takes it. It is slow against an aggressive deck.

In the draft. A card to take at a middling pick for a black deck that can protect its life total. Control decks like it less.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.9 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand60.6 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game56.0 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)85.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 13 of 22
  • Black: rank 5 of 39
  • Cost 2: rank 5 of 72
  • Average pick: 1.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

4,821 games57.5 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)
3,220 games55.2 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)
1,541 games51.2 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)
488 games50.0 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)
305 games47.9 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)
303 games50.8 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)
176 games50.0 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)
172 games50.6 %(all pairs : 54.8 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.0 %· 1,103 games
All players, card in hand58.1 %· 4,944 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.0 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.6 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.7 % · 11,341 games
  • 2 copies59.6 % · 218 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.6 % · 3,419 games
  • Next two weeks58.2 % · 1,113 games
  • After that53.4 % · 412 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Boggart Cursecrafter

    40. Boggart Cursecrafter

    7.0
  • Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist

    50. Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist

    6.9
  • Creakwood Safewright

    51. Creakwood Safewright

    6.8
  • Abigale, Eloquent First-Year

    58. Abigale, Eloquent First-Year

    6.7

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.