Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist

Rare · Legendary Creature — Elf Druid

Pick rating

6.9GoodRank 50 of 264

Observed strength

58.8%Rank 51 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (6.9/10).

Why. A two-mana hybrid 1/3 that mills four cards on entering and lets you put a creature or land card from among them on top of your library. Later, for five mana, it discards a land to make a 1/1 black and green Worm creature token per land card in your graveyard.

Risks. The body is weak, and the ability costs five mana, a land to discard and tapping Lluwen. It takes time to pay off.

In the draft. A fine pick for black-green. It's best in a deck that fills its graveyard with lands.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.8 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand59.6 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game58.3 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)89.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 25 of 61
  • Multicolour: rank 18 of 49
  • Cost 2: rank 10 of 72
  • Average pick: 2.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

15,621 games57.7 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
2,069 games55.1 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)

splash

1,382 games53.3 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)

splash

997 games53.3 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
638 games54.5 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)

splash

577 games51.5 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
563 games54.2 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
354 games50.3 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand59.1 %· 2,563 games
All players, card in hand59.5 %· 10,455 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.1 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.3 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.2 % · 22,823 games
  • 2 copies56.2 % · 989 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks60.0 % · 6,968 games
  • Next two weeks58.8 % · 2,589 games
  • After that58.0 % · 898 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Bristlebane Battler

    21. Bristlebane Battler

    7.7
  • Bitterbloom Bearer

    33. Bitterbloom Bearer

    7.4
  • Boggart Cursecrafter

    40. Boggart Cursecrafter

    7.0
  • Eclipsed Kithkin

    44. Eclipsed Kithkin

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.