Blossombind
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Blossombind

Common · Enchantment — Aura

Pick rating

4.6WeakRank 197 of 264

Observed strength

55.1%Rank 138 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

It wins more than its rating suggests.

Why this gap?

The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.6/10).

Why. A two-mana blue Aura that taps the creature and keeps it from untapping or receiving counters. A cheap pseudo-removal that neutralises an attacking or blocking threat.

Risks. The creature keeps its abilities, so non-tap effects stay active, and the Aura falls off if destroyed or removed. It is exposed to bounce.

In the draft. A decent pick for a blue deck, among your removal. It fits well in blue-red or white-blue.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.1 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand52.2 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game57.0 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)83.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 41 of 81
  • Blue: rank 33 of 41
  • Cost 2: rank 53 of 72
  • Average pick: 6.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

46,149 games56.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
38,964 games55.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
6,048 games52.3 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
4,789 games50.2 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
2,905 games51.9 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
2,343 games51.1 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
2,265 games51.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
1,381 games49.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.9 %· 14,027 games
All players, card in hand55.5 %· 56,341 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.9 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.3 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.1 % · 79,464 games
  • 2 copies55.1 % · 25,758 games
  • 3 copies55.3 % · 4,244 games
  • 4 copies or more51.3 % · 431 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.2 % · 38,623 games
  • Next two weeks56.1 % · 12,864 games
  • After that56.8 % · 4,854 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Bark of Doran1,437 games · 54.7 % (instead of 51.5% expected)
  • Puca's Eye3,561 games · 55.6 % (instead of 52.7% expected)
  • Kinbinding5,775 games · 60.1 % (instead of 57.9% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 59 %G/U · 51 %

Played in 20% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Loch Mare

    3. Loch Mare

    9.1
  • Deepchannel Duelist

    24. Deepchannel Duelist

    7.6
  • Sygg, Wanderwine Wisdom // Sygg, Wanderbrine Shield

    37. Sygg, Wanderwine Wisdom // Sygg, Wanderbrine Shield

    7.2
  • Silvergill Mentor

    55. Silvergill Mentor

    6.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.